Analysts at IDC looks into crystal ball, predicts smartphone statistics for 2015
This time they took a look into the future, trying to predict the result of the smartphone eco system war.
Smartphone statistics predictions for 2011
In 2010 the smartphone market grew by leaps and bounds, every statistics report released confirmed it and we saw Android blooming and taking a big part of the market as well as mind share. RIM was strugeling but still keeping solid sales numbers, and Apple making a statement that they are here to stay and that they are the company which you tuly needs to be meassured against if you are to be some body on the smartphone market.
Now IDC thinks that 2011 won’t see as big growth in the smartphone sector as we saw in 2010, but that the smartphone market is still believed to grow by a little over 49%. A growth of close to 50% is not bad though and it’s estimated over 450 million units will ship during the year. As for what smartphone eco system that will be most successful in 2011 IDC claims it will be Android.
Senior research analyst Ramon Llamas of IDC’s Mobile Devices Technology and Trends team says:
Android is poised to take over as the leading smartphone operating system in 2011 after racing into the number 2 position in 2010.
What will the statistics look like in 2015?
The recent announcement of cooperation between Microsoft and Nokia will have a drastic impact on the smartphone landscape in 2015 believes IDC. With the first Nokia Windows Phone devices slated to launch in 2012, the landscape will start to change. Symbian will be phased out as a Nokia will transition all their smartphone devices over to the Windows Phone platform.
IDC expects the Windows Phone eco system to have gain such momentum by 2015 that they will slightly exceed 20% of the market share and thus become the top runner up chasing Android.
Android is also poised to grow by leaps and bounds until 2015, and by then claiming over 45% market share.
Analyst Llamas states:
The new alliance brings together Nokia’s hardware capabilities and Windows Phone’s differentiated platform. We expect the first devices to launch in 2012. By 2015, IDC expects Windows Phone to be number 2 operating system worldwide behind Android
Summary of 2011 and 2015 statistics
|Operating System||2011 Market Share||2015 Market Share||2011-2015 CAGR|
|Windows Phone/Windows Mobile||5.5%||20.9%||67.1%|